Million Dollar
Homes
Swedish financial authorities warn real estate companies about the $143 billion debt mountain, urging reduction to prevent impeding sector recovery amid rising interest rates and declining valuations. The Austrian Signa Group's bankruptcy adds to property market challenges in Europe. Swedish property values have dropped 6%, and the market is roughly half marked down. Lack of transaction data raises concerns about reported values' accuracy, and estimations suggest a potential 20% further drop for property returns to align with desired levels.
Local lender Handelsbanken, with over one-third of all loans in commercial real estate, faces exposure risks. While loan quality has been declining, gradual increases in loan coverage this year and limited provisioning have been observed. Nordic banks, well-capitalized, face a threat due to the large and unstable Swedish housing market, with Tier 1 ratios at approximately twenty percent.
Despite Nordic banks being well-capitalized, premium valuations, 25% higher than the rest of Europe, pose risks. The warning emphasizes the need for debt reduction to avoid potential risks such as forced sales, equity raising, and refinancings in the Swedish property market.